Wednesday, May 25, 2011

Mayoral Results Analysis

After the mayoral election, Jane Adams laid out the results on a map of Carbondale, indicating who won which precincts and if they won by an absolute majority.  The results are interesting.

Joel Fritzler was the clear winner, winning 11 districts, 3 of them with absolute majorities. Most of his wins were  closer to the center of town and bordering the university as he won all the districts between Emerald Lane and Illinois as well as district 25 south of Chautauqua and district 8 north of West Highway 13.   The exceptions to his wins in this area were the only 3 districts won by Sam Goldman,district 25 which included SIUC, district 22 which is adjacent to the university and 11 which includes Memorial Hospital and is also adjacent to the university..  Even in those areas, Goldman did not win absolute majorities.

Though George Maroney came in second, he only won 6 districts, none by more than 50% of the vote and all, except for district 29 which lies east of Wall Street, lie on the outer rim of the city, indicating his strength lay in Carbondale's extended suburbs.

Finally, Stephen Haynes strength was in the northeast part of Carbondale.  He won the five precincts in that area, four of them by over 50%.  Unfortunately, of the approximately 1600 registered voters in those precincts, only 313 turned out to vote, of which he won about 195.  He did win a sixth precinct, #17 located between old and new Highway 51, but only 33 people turned out to vote there.

Districts 6 thorough 16 wound up key to the mayoral election, accounting for 1891 of the 2791 votes cast. Six of Fritzler's wins fell in those districts, while Maroney had two and Goldman one, indicating that voter density was key to Fritzler's win.

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