Monday, January 31, 2011

Primary Unintended Consequences

John Jackson of the Paul Simon Institute has a piece up on the unintended consequences (aren't there always) of the state law allowing the skipping of a primary election if less than a certain number of candidates filed and the likelihood that the most popular one won't get elected.

Since we have 5 candidates for mayor, Carbondale has to have a run-off to pare it down, by state law to 4. With 4 candidates, one will be able to win with a plurality rather than a majority vote. One candidate could even do it with three candidates in the race. Plus as Jackson points out Arrow's Paradox says that each additional candidate in the race decreases the likelihood that the most popular candidate will win.

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